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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena
RB

Sturm Graz
5 - 0
Salzburg

Junior Yalcouye (15'), Biereth (30', 51', 62'), Aiwu (76')
Aiwu (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Piatkowski (66'), Bajcetic (90')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Red Bull Salzburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-1 Brugge
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Salzburg 0-4 Brest
Tuesday, October 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 0-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawRed Bull Salzburg
23.11% (-0.203 -0.2) 21.05% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 55.83% (0.264 0.26)
Both teams to score 63.07% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.13% (0.045000000000002 0.05)34.87% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.15% (0.048000000000002 0.05)56.84% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.137 -0.14)27.89% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.176 -0.18)63.51% (0.179 0.18)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.47% (0.094000000000008 0.09)12.53% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.45% (0.189 0.19)38.55% (-0.185 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 23.11%
    Red Bull Salzburg 55.83%
    Draw 21.05%
Sturm GrazDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 5.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 23.11%
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 9.63% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.67% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.22% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 3.46% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.71% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.44% (0.016 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.94%
2-5 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 55.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-1 Brugge
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: BW Linz 1-2 Sturm Graz
Saturday, September 28 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Vienna 2-2 Sturm Graz
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-3 Wolfsberger
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Sturm Graz
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 4-2 Swarovski
Saturday, August 31 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 0-4 Brest
Tuesday, October 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Salzburg 2-0 Austria Vienna
Saturday, September 28 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Swarovski 0-0 Salzburg
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 3-0 Salzburg
Wednesday, September 18 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 3-2 Salzburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 1-1 Dynamo Kiev
Tuesday, August 27 at 8pm in Champions League


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