SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 0-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
23.11% ( -0.2) | 21.05% ( -0.06) | 55.83% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 63.07% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.13% ( 0.05) | 34.87% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.15% ( 0.05) | 56.84% ( -0.05) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( -0.14) | 27.89% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( -0.18) | 63.51% ( 0.18) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.47% ( 0.09) | 12.53% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.45% ( 0.19) | 38.55% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 23.11% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.67% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.26% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.94% 2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 55.83% |
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