SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Dinamo Minsk |
33.37% ( 0.14) | 28.48% ( 0.03) | 38.15% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.16% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.83% ( -0.1) | 60.17% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.64% ( -0.07) | 80.37% ( 0.08) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.42% ( 0.05) | 33.58% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.78% ( 0.05) | 70.23% ( -0.05) |
| Dinamo Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% ( -0.15) | 30.5% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% ( -0.18) | 66.71% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Dinamo Minsk |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.37% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 12.16% 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.15% |
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