SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | BATE Borisov |
30.68% ( 0.03) | 28.5% ( 0.02) | 40.82% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.42% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.24% ( -0.04) | 60.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.19% ( -0.03) | 80.81% ( 0.03) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% | 35.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.39% | 72.6% ( 0) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( -0.04) | 29.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.83% ( -0.05) | 65.17% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 30.67% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)0-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 40.82% |
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