SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
52.96% ( 0.53) | 24.96% ( -0.08) | 22.08% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.83% ( -0.13) | 53.17% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.26% ( -0.11) | 74.74% ( 0.11) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( 0.17) | 20.06% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.72% ( 0.26) | 52.28% ( -0.25) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.97% ( -0.51) | 39.03% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.25% ( -0.48) | 75.75% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.95% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.08% |
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