Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
