SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | FC Minsk |
52.74% ( 0.31) | 24.68% ( -0.01) | 22.58% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( -0.25) | 51.6% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( -0.22) | 73.39% ( 0.22) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( 0.02) | 19.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.57% ( 0.04) | 51.43% ( -0.04) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.34% ( -0.42) | 37.66% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.56% ( -0.41) | 74.44% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | FC Minsk |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.58% |
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