SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Isloch | 14 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Minsk | 13 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 12 | 7 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | BATE Borisov | 13 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | Energetik-BGU | 13 | 16 | 27 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 13 | 7 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
23.72% ( 0.04) | 25.56% ( 0.03) | 50.72% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( -0.09) | 53.96% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( -0.07) | 75.41% ( 0.07) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% ( -0.02) | 37.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.32% ( -0.01) | 74.68% ( 0.02) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( -0.06) | 21.3% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( -0.09) | 54.24% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.87% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 23.72% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.66% ( -0)1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 50.71% |
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