SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 65.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Minsk | Draw | Naftan |
65.04% ( -1.28) | 20.43% ( 0.32) | 14.53% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.12% ( 0.65) | 45.88% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.81% ( 0.61) | 68.19% ( -0.61) |
| Dinamo Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( -0.18) | 13.32% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.82% ( -0.36) | 40.18% ( 0.36) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.36% ( 1.82) | 43.64% ( -1.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.18% ( 1.48) | 79.83% ( -1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Minsk | Draw | Naftan |
| 2-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.49) 1-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.41)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 65.03% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.43% | 0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 2% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.44% Total : 14.53% |
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