Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.