Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.