Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.