Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
