Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.