SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 65.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
65.18% ( -0.08) | 19.64% ( 0.03) | 15.19% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.01% ( -0.07) | 40.99% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.62% ( -0.07) | 63.38% ( 0.07) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.19% ( -0.04) | 11.81% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.97% ( -0.09) | 37.04% ( 0.09) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.29% ( 0.02) | 39.71% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.61% ( 0.02) | 76.39% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 2-0 @ 10.7% 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 65.17% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.64% | 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.19% |
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