SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Neman in this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
68.03% ( -0.29) | 19.22% ( 0.11) | 12.75% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.9% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.43% ( -0.07) | 44.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( -0.07) | 66.94% ( 0.07) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( -0.1) | 12.07% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.4% ( -0.22) | 37.6% ( 0.21) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.47% ( 0.24) | 45.52% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.65% ( 0.19) | 81.35% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 2-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 68.03% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.22% | 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.75% |
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