SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 13 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Dinamo Brest | 13 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 12 | -14 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Gomel | 13 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 12 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Slavia Mozyr | 12 | 0 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | FC Minsk |
31.8% ( -0.4) | 26.56% ( 0.21) | 41.65% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% ( -0.96) | 53.26% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% ( -0.82) | 74.81% ( 0.82) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( -0.76) | 31.11% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( -0.89) | 67.43% ( 0.89) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -0.33) | 25.25% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( -0.46) | 60% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | FC Minsk |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.8% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.65% |
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