Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.