SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | FC Minsk |
22.88% ( 0.73) | 23.11% ( 0.05) | 54% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( 0.6) | 44.73% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( 0.58) | 67.1% ( -0.58) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( 1.01) | 33.56% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.8% ( 1.08) | 70.2% ( -1.09) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( -0.07) | 16.49% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.78% ( -0.11) | 46.22% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | FC Minsk |
| 1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.89% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.9% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 54% |
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