SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Isloch | Draw | Naftan |
56.69% ( 1.04) | 22.96% ( -0.32) | 20.35% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( 0.41) | 47.09% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( 0.38) | 69.32% ( -0.39) |
| Isloch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( 0.5) | 16.39% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.96% ( 0.91) | 46.03% ( -0.92) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.68% ( -0.51) | 37.32% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.89% ( -0.51) | 74.1% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Isloch | Draw | Naftan |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.17% Total : 56.69% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.35% |
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