Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.
