Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Torpedo-BelAZ win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.