Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 7.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.47%) and 3-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.
Result | ||
Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Naftan |
74.93% ( -0.01) | 17.16% ( 0.13) | 7.91% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 37.02% ( -0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.73% ( -0.9) | 49.27% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.68% ( -0.82) | 71.32% ( 0.82) |
Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.49% ( -0.25) | 11.51% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.6% ( -0.55) | 36.4% ( 0.55) |
Naftan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.84% ( -0.86) | 58.16% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.32% ( -0.48) | 89.68% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Naftan |
2-0 @ 15.64% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 14.47% ( 0.38) 3-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 74.92% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.16% | 0-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.17% Total : 7.91% |
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