SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Naftan win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Naftan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Dinamo Brest win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
41.99% ( -0.15) | 26.57% ( -0.12) | 31.44% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% ( 0.55) | 53.42% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% ( 0.46) | 74.95% ( -0.46) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( 0.17) | 25.15% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( 0.23) | 59.86% ( -0.23) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( 0.47) | 31.44% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.19% ( 0.54) | 67.81% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.44% |
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