Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
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