SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Vitebsk | 11 | -9 | 7 |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 10 | -12 | 5 |
| 15 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 10 | -10 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Slutsk | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Neman | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Slavia Mozyr | 10 | -1 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 47.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Neman |
26.11% ( -0.05) | 26.52% ( 0.21) | 47.37% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.33% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.23% ( -0.79) | 55.77% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.1% ( -0.65) | 76.9% ( 0.65) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( -0.48) | 36.78% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.43% ( -0.48) | 73.57% ( 0.48) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( -0.41) | 23.55% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.39% ( -0.6) | 57.61% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 26.11% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 47.36% |
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