SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Neman |
28.49% ( -0.14) | 26.12% ( 0.06) | 45.39% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.21% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.13% ( -0.31) | 52.86% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.52% ( -0.26) | 74.48% ( 0.26) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( -0.27) | 33.3% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.08% ( -0.3) | 69.92% ( 0.3) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.1) | 23.23% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( -0.14) | 57.13% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.49% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.39% |
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