Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Gorodeya had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Gorodeya win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.