Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Gorodeya had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Gorodeya win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.