Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Brest win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Belshina win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Brest would win this match.