Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Slavia Mozyr win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.