Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slavia Mozyr in this match.