Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slavia Mozyr in this match.