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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Smorgon |
48.8% ( -0.06) | 25.27% ( 0.11) | 25.93% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.91% ( -0.47) | 51.1% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.05% ( -0.41) | 72.95% ( 0.41) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -0.21) | 20.96% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.3% ( -0.34) | 53.71% ( 0.34) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0.29) | 34.4% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.89% ( -0.32) | 71.11% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Smorgon |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 25.93% |
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