SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.74%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
20.61% ( 0.31) | 28.49% ( -0) | 50.89% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 38.16% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.96% ( 0.25) | 66.04% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.39% ( 0.17) | 84.61% ( -0.17) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.93% ( 0.5) | 48.07% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.72% ( 0.37) | 83.28% ( -0.37) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( -0.03) | 26.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.3% ( -0.04) | 61.7% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 20.61% | 0-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.12) 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.35% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 16.91% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 11.23% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 50.88% |
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