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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slavia Mozyr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slavia Mozyr | Draw | Smorgon |
45.87% ( -0.4) | 24.59% ( 0.15) | 29.54% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.78% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.1% ( -0.53) | 45.9% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% ( -0.51) | 68.21% ( 0.51) |
| Slavia Mozyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -0.38) | 20.1% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( -0.62) | 52.35% ( 0.62) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% ( -0.1) | 28.94% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( -0.12) | 64.82% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slavia Mozyr | Draw | Smorgon |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.54% |
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