SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slavia Mozyr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slavia Mozyr | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
56.8% ( 0.16) | 22.12% ( -0.06) | 21.07% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.5% ( 0.13) | 42.49% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.1% ( 0.13) | 64.9% ( -0.14) |
| Slavia Mozyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( 0.09) | 14.76% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.99% ( 0.18) | 43.01% ( -0.19) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( -0.02) | 33.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( -0.02) | 70.66% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slavia Mozyr | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 56.8% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.35% 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.11% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 21.07% |
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