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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Belshina win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Belshina |
59.7% ( -0.87) | 22.42% ( 0.46) | 17.88% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -1.28) | 48.33% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( -1.18) | 70.47% ( 1.19) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.2% ( -0.72) | 15.8% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.05% ( -1.34) | 44.95% ( 1.35) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% ( -0.27) | 40.77% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% ( -0.25) | 77.35% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Belshina |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.17% Total : 59.69% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.97% Total : 17.88% |
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