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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 53.97%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 23.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Smorgon |
53.97% ( -0.02) | 22.98% ( 0) | 23.05% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.02% ( -0.01) | 43.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.64% ( -0.01) | 66.37% ( 0.01) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% ( -0.01) | 16.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.25% ( -0.02) | 45.75% ( 0.02) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( 0.01) | 33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% ( 0.01) | 69.59% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Smorgon |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.97% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 23.05% |
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