Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 62.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.59%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.