Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.7%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.