Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk in this match.
