Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk in this match.
