Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Gorodeya had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Gorodeya win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.