SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Belshina win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Energetik-BGU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | Belshina |
49.58% ( -0.64) | 25.09% ( 0.27) | 25.33% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.18% ( -0.81) | 50.82% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% ( -0.72) | 72.71% ( 0.72) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( -0.59) | 20.51% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.99% ( -0.94) | 53.01% ( 0.94) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.24% ( -0.13) | 34.75% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.51% ( -0.14) | 71.48% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | Belshina |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.57% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.33% |
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