Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Slutsk in this match.