Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.