Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 49.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.