Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 13.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.