Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belshina would win this match.