Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Isloch had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Isloch win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.